The Fifth Republican Debate Ended In A Nine-Way Draw

The Fifth Republican Debate Ended In A Nine-Way Draw

Republican presidential candidates, from left, Donald Trump, Carly Fiorina, Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush, and Ben Carson leave the stage following the CNN Republican presidential debate at the Venetian Hotel & Casino on Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)

The Republican debate in Las Vegas on Tuesday night had the feel of a football match that ended in a goalless draw to zero. It was a case of defensive tactics spirit, full of technically competent performances, but predictable. The only candidates who have broken so were those who did not have much to lose.

This is interesting, considering that no Republican candidate should feel as secure about his position in the race. Donald Trump is leading in the polls – but that candidate won a nomination before the party, and many reasons to question is whether this research will translate into sustained success in the states and win delegates. Ted Cruz can feel happy about his best position in Iowa – but Trump trails throughout the country and is almost as hated by the party establishment. Marco Rubio moves at the polls and counting backwards – but the pace of growth in this category has been slow, and mediocre ground game could avoid gaining more support, soon comes Members to vote.

For those of us who watched the debate FiveThirtyEight, nothing in Las Vegas changed. As in the past, we have presented anonymously degrees that qualify the performance of each candidate based on how much they think they improved their chances of winning the nomination of degrees F. But like a lot of confusion, with none of the major candidates for more than a B or C below average also was not much internal agreement on how the candidates did: Rubio, for example, was described by all parties with an A – for D + 14 employees who voted.

The Fifth Republican Debate Ended In A Nine-Way Draw

There seemed to be an asymmetry between Rubio and Ted Cruz, who wish to cross over to attack the reverse Rubio. This makes sense: Rubio would benefit from a universe in which Trump Cruz and ate in the vote of others and was not able to reach a critical mass. Cruz, however, would like to force the hand of creating worse option of establishing a career in one-on-one with Trump.

For my money personally Chris Christie had the best night of anyone on stage – largely because they have benefited from other candidates tactical options. Christie still has a way for the appointment – which runs through New Hampshire – but is not threatening enough to receive the same scrutiny as Rubio, Cruz or Trump is receiving or being attacked by other candidates. This is somewhat the same position as John Kerry during the 2004 Democratic primaries, candidates like Howard Dean and Joe Lieberman attacked the other thin.

The Fifth Republican Debate Ended In A Nine-Way Draw

I said (along with many others) that Jeb Bush was “probably toast” for six weeks – and that judgment is maintained even after what was perhaps his most effective debate cycle. The problem for Bush – asterisk addition to its support level near the polls – is that Rubio seems to be the main “invisible”, with Rubio having recently received more endorsements. In addition, Christie has lagged behind in the polls in New Hampshire, so if Rubio falters, Christie could take a look before Bush does it again. While the Bush campaign has the money to pull the chain, which is quite a parlay long shot: hope hesitate Rubio, hopefully emerge as an option for backup instead of creating Christie, then wait Trump Cruz to hit a year that voters seem to be looking in a different direction.

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